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2024-12-14 00:08:21

The US CPI data is in line with expectations, and the euro zone bonds are basically flat.After this year's acquisition frenzy, BlackRock may seek to further expand in the private equity market. The momentum of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, may continue, because it is expected that the company will seek further expansion in the fields of private credit, real estate, infrastructure or private equity. BlackRock announced last week that it plans to acquire private credit company HPS Investment Partners for about $12 billion, which is BlackRock's third major acquisition this year. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, said that the transaction will enable the two companies to provide the integration of private equity and open market investment products. Financial sources and analysts said that in the future, BlackRock may enhance its influence in the private equity market through further acquisitions. Goals may include expanding private credit or increasing private equity, so that BlackRock can better compete with large enterprises in alternative investment fields.Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia.


Macy's fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors.OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.


Ethereum rose to 5% to $3,750; Bitcoin rose 3.4%, approaching $99,000.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.

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